There have
been strains on the ceasefire deal since its inception in late August: in
September Gaza fishermen were reportedly fired on by the Israeli navy despite
claiming to have been within the allotted 6 mile fishing limit and in December
rockets were fired into Israel from Gaza, to which Israel responded with
airstrikes. Perhaps most importantly though, in Gaza the conditions of
the deal are not perceived to have been upheld by Israel. The opening of border
crossings was a necessity to obtain the materials needed to reconstruct the
many homes in Gaza destroyed during the conflict. Whilst Israel has provided
building materials through the border – around 400 trucks a day pass through
for this purpose - the borders are heavily monitored. The view from Palestine
is epitomised by Palestinian journalist Hai al-Masri, who writes that “the
siege and closure of the crossings have become worse than at any other time”. With
thousands of people in Gaza still homeless and living in tents, tensions are
simmering as a result.
The division
between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority is also playing a part in this.
Last month, for example, Hamas set up a makeshift outpost and patrolled at the
Palestinian Authority’s checkpoint; Israel responded by only allowing Gazans
with humanitarian emergencies through the border. The strain in Gaza certainly
seems to be increasing. Militants have reportedly conducted several attacks
against Hamas, including blowing up the car of a Hamas security official on
January 20th. So, although Hamas themselves seem inclined to honour
the ceasefire for the moment – they have been attempting to prevent the rocket
fire into Israel in December, the pressure on them and Gazan people is mounting.
Ceasefires between the two sides have been historically precarious and have
been consistently broken. This factor, along with the internal disputes in Gaza
and the fact that the borders are seemingly no more open than before, mean the
threat to this current deal is rising.
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