Saturday, July 29, 2006

The Potential for Escalation in the Hizballah-Israel Conflict

By Jeffrey White
July 26, 2006

The critical question of whether or not the current conflict in Lebanon will escalate to a broader regional war is being answered in two overly simple ways. One such analysis is that this is a “meltdown” with escalating violence and mounting pressures for further escalation. A second, equally simplistic view is that since no one has an interest in escalating to a regional conflict it will not happen. Both of these views do not account for the complex set of dynamics and the real possibility that accident and error can intervene.

Read this short paper from the Washington Institute here

Also, see this paper on Hizballah's global terror network

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